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Offline Amazon  
#1 Posted : Monday, June 3, 2013 2:17:43 PM(UTC)
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I have started this thread to discuss the EB2 India PD movement in July 2013 visa bulletin. ThumpUp
Please remember to add your case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker
Offline AxialTilt  
#2 Posted : Tuesday, June 4, 2013 9:12:16 AM(UTC)
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What is your guess of what the PD will be?
Offline Amazon  
#3 Posted : Tuesday, June 4, 2013 1:54:57 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: AxialTilt Go to Quoted Post
What is your guess of what the PD will be?


That is a good question. Two law firms said they met with Charles Oppenheim (CO) about a month ago. CO said that dates would not move till September VB and only for few weeks. I dont think that is true (hence the contest).

I had created a blog post about this 2 weeks ago with full details; but decided not to publish it. EB2 India has been waiting for over a year for forward movement and I do not want them to become more anxious.

What do you guys think? Should I publish that post? I would need atleast 10 yes comments from people here to publish it.
Please remember to add your case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker
Offline raman  
#4 Posted : Tuesday, June 4, 2013 2:12:14 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Amazon Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: AxialTilt Go to Quoted Post
What is your guess of what the PD will be?


That is a good question. Two law firms said they met with Charles Oppenheim (CO) about a month ago. CO said that dates would not move till September VB and only for few weeks. I dont think that is true (hence the contest).

I had created a blog post about this 2 weeks ago with full details; but decided not to publish it. EB2 India has been waiting for over a year for forward movement and I do not want them to become more anxious.

What do you guys think? Should I publish that post? I would need atleast 10 yes comments from people here to publish it.


Well,if the dates dont move in July VB, then that prediction would most likely be true. we will know in a few days.

Offline JohnK  
#5 Posted : Tuesday, June 4, 2013 9:11:22 PM(UTC)
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I vote yes to posting the blog post. Would DOS move the dates fully in July or would they move it slowly in July and August?

I am guessing they would do the latter. Cool
Offline pm86  
#6 Posted : Wednesday, June 5, 2013 9:43:13 AM(UTC)
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Seems its going slow. Thats why no use in keeping hope as everything is unpredictable.Confused Huh
Offline Amazon  
#7 Posted : Wednesday, June 5, 2013 1:07:11 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: JohnK Go to Quoted Post
Would DOS move the dates fully in July or would they move it slowly in July and August?


Yeah, they would do it in a staggered manner. Depending on amount of spillovers, there could be a big jump in July and smaller jump in August and "tiny" jump in September.

As soon as dates starts moving in EB2 India, the porting from EB3 India to EB2 India would also start increasing. Based on June 2013 demand data, there are 38,000+ preadjudicated cases in EB3 India till Dec 31, 2006.

http://www.mygcvisa.com/...-2013-visa-bulletin.aspx

There are two types of EB3-EB2 porters:

1. Those who have filed I-485
2. Those who have not yet filed I-485

The demand data would only include those EB3 India folks who had filed and were preadjudicated. This means the real demand in EB3 India (once dates move forward for EB2 India) could be much higher. Hence the staggered approach would be the most likely option.
Please remember to add your case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker
Offline KR  
#8 Posted : Wednesday, June 5, 2013 4:04:03 PM(UTC)
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Vote 2 for the blog.
Offline Raj  
#9 Posted : Thursday, June 6, 2013 9:49:04 AM(UTC)
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Yes for the blog
Offline pm86  
#10 Posted : Thursday, June 6, 2013 9:56:51 AM(UTC)
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what is the process for EB3 to EB2 porting and how much time does it take? 1 week or 2 weeks? If so then they have to wait for the 2 weeks meanwhile the orginial EB2 applicants whose cases have been preadjusted can be current and approved. Whats the probability of this process?
Offline Amazon  
#11 Posted : Thursday, June 6, 2013 3:00:15 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: pm86 Go to Quoted Post
what is the process for EB3 to EB2 porting and how much time does it take? 1 week or 2 weeks? If so then they have to wait for the 2 weeks meanwhile the orginial EB2 applicants whose cases have been preadjusted can be current and approved. Whats the probability of this process?


For EB3 to EB2 Process, please see this: http://blog.mygcvisa.com...-eb2-porting-part-1.html

It typically takes 6-9 months to complete. Lots of people who started porting about a year ago are now showing up in demand data (in EB2 India category).

Porters who have not file I-485 yet will have to wait for PD to be current before they can apply. Current processing time is 4-8 months. So lot of people who will file a new I-485 application between July and Aug may have to wait till next FY 2014.

The tricky part is most likely dates are going to retrogress again from FY 2014 (October 1, 2013) since porters are currently using up all available EB2 India quota (2802 per year).
Please remember to add your case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker
Offline Amazon  
#12 Posted : Thursday, June 6, 2013 3:18:53 PM(UTC)
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According to Charles Oppenheim dates could move around Feb 2008. We have posted the original article and updated it with new information from Charles Oppenheim.

http://blog.mygcvisa.com...letin-movement-from.html

Edited by user Thursday, June 6, 2013 3:29:31 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Please remember to add your case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker
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